Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Hischier 54.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 69.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 57.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 58.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Howden
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Howden
Hischier
Last 10: Howden 7-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
6
2
Howden
Hischier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
5
Howden
Hischier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
55.0% (1,107)
-4.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
63.1% (252)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
43.6% (149)
+4.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Howden
Hischier
Home
47.7% (195)
56.5% (763)
Away
52.8% (233)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Howden
Hischier
P1
51.1%
56.0%
P2
52.6%
57.6%
P3
48.8%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |