Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Hischier 56.2% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 58.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 76.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 62.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Howden
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Howden
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Howden
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Howden
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
56.1% (1,018)
-8.8%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
59.9% (289)
-37.7%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
51.3% (80)
-25.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Howden
Hischier
Home
44.3% (176)
56.5% (706)
Away
45.8% (190)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Howden
Hischier
P1
43.1%
54.8%
P2
43.1%
57.8%
P3
48.1%
57.6%
OT
100.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 22, 2024 | OT | 01:27 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |