Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Acciari 51.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 73.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 74.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Howden
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Howden
Acciari
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
6
Howden
Acciari
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Howden
Acciari
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
52.8% (3,276)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
48.2% (85)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
47.1% (1,061)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Howden
Acciari
Home
48.4% (1,608)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Howden
Acciari
P1
49.5%
52.2%
P2
48.0%
51.5%
P3
49.9%
50.5%
OT
39.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Brett Howden |