Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Nash 46.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 58.9%
Neutral zone
Nash 60.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Howden
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Howden
Nash
Last 5: Howden 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
4
Howden
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
46.1% (306)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
16.7% (6)
+43.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
38.1% (21)
+3.3%
On power play, Howden has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Howden is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Howden shoots left. Nash is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Howden
Nash
Home
52.0% (304)
46.5% (157)
Away
45.9% (425)
43.8% (176)
By Period
Howden
Nash
P1
48.7%
47.7%
P2
48.1%
39.8%
P3
49.0%
47.2%
Final 5 min
45.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |