Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.5%). Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Nash 48.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 52.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 53.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 52.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Howden
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Howden
Nash
Last 6: Howden 1-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
4
Howden
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
48.7% (4,621)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
51.0% (249)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
44.9% (550)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Howden
Nash
Home
48.4% (1,608)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Howden
Nash
P1
49.5%
49.0%
P2
48.0%
47.9%
P3
49.9%
48.0%
OT
39.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |