Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Colton 51.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 51.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 54.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Howden
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Howden
Colton
Last 9: Howden 4-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Howden
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
51.6% (1,800)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
48.8% (162)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
34.5% (29)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Howden
Colton
Home
48.4% (1,608)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Howden
Colton
P1
49.5%
53.5%
P2
48.0%
52.6%
P3
49.9%
47.9%
OT
39.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Ross Colton |