Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.5%). Howden wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.5% vs Aho 50.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 61.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 70.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 52.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Howden
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Howden
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (358)
50.5% (647)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
54.2% (131)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
38.1% (42)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Howden is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Howden shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Howden
Aho
Home
47.7% (174)
53.9% (445)
Away
53.0% (219)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Howden
Aho
P1
53.3%
48.7%
P2
51.1%
51.4%
P3
49.2%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
50.6%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |