Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.0%). Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Aho 50.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 69.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 65.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Howden
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Howden
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
49.9% (851)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
53.5% (144)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
43.3% (60)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Howden
Aho
Home
47.7% (195)
53.2% (554)
Away
52.8% (233)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Howden
Aho
P1
51.1%
49.1%
P2
52.6%
50.8%
P3
48.8%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |