Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 68.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 71.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Howden
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Howden
Aho
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
6
Howden
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
50.1% (6,619)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
58.9% (1,310)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
46.3% (464)
-3.1%
On power play, Aho has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Howden
Aho
Home
48.4% (1,608)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Howden
Aho
P1
49.5%
51.1%
P2
48.0%
52.0%
P3
49.9%
50.7%
OT
39.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |