Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Crosby 57.8% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 56.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 90.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 79.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Howden
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Howden
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Howden
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
57.8% (1,437)
-10.5%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
60.9% (381)
-38.7%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
50.0% (54)
-24.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Howden
Crosby
Home
44.3% (176)
59.2% (985)
Away
45.8% (190)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Howden
Crosby
P1
43.1%
57.3%
P2
43.1%
59.5%
P3
48.1%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |