Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Blueger 50.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 69.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 69.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Howden
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Howden
Blueger
Last 5: Howden 2-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
Blueger
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
3
Howden
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
53.3% (745)
+0.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
45.5% (11)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
41.7% (259)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Howden
Blueger
Home
48.8% (258)
53.4% (504)
Away
56.6% (258)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Howden
Blueger
P1
54.0%
46.6%
P2
53.2%
53.0%
P3
50.9%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |