Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Leason wins 32.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leason 40.2% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leason 92.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 54.0%
Neutral zone
Leason 68.9%
Result
Brett Leason favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Leason
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Leason
Kuraly
Last 9: Leason 3-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leason
2
0
Leason
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Leason
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Leason
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leason
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (121)
51.5% (5,141)
-16.0%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
56.0% (100)
-43.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
44.2% (1,086)
-19.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Leason is 32.7% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Leason shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Leason
Kuraly
Home
33.3% (72)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
33.3% (69)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Leason
Kuraly
P1
34.6%
51.1%
P2
28.9%
49.9%
P3
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leason
32.0%▬
33.3%
33.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Brett Leason |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Brett Leason |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Brett Leason |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |