Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +24.2% FO% edge overall. Leason wins 27.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leason 40.3% vs Monahan 52.4% (-24.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leason 55.1%
Defensive zone
Leason 56.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.1%
Result
Brett Leason favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Leason
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Leason
Monahan
Last 5: Leason 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Leason
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leason
2
0
Leason
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Leason
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leason
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
32.9% (70)
52.4% (853)
-19.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
58.6% (174)
-58.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (8)
46.5% (144)
-46.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Leason is 27.3% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Leason shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Leason
Monahan
Home
30.0% (40)
53.4% (624)
Away
26.8% (41)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Leason
Monahan
P1
37.9%
53.7%
P2
18.5%
52.4%
P3
28.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
35.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leason
32.0%▬
33.3%
28.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Brett Leason |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Brett Leason |