Scouting Report
Trevor Lewis holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Leason on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Leason wins 35.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leason 40.2% vs Lewis 43.2% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 54.8%
Defensive zone
Leason 53.1%
Neutral zone
Lewis 55.8%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Leason
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Leason
Lewis
Last 6: Leason 3-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Leason
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Leason
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leason
2
1
Leason
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leason
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (121)
43.2% (2,347)
-7.7%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
51.9% (108)
-39.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
38.6% (365)
-13.6%
On power play, Lewis has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Leason is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Leason shoots right. Lewis is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Leason
Lewis
Home
33.3% (72)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
33.3% (69)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Leason
Lewis
P1
34.6%
42.8%
P2
28.9%
43.9%
P3
36.4%
41.9%
Final 5 min
43.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leason
32.0%▬
33.3%
33.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Brett Leason |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Brett Leason |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Brett Leason |