Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Seney wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seney 40.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seney 58.2%
Defensive zone
Seney 73.1%
Neutral zone
Seney 75.4%
Result
Brett Seney favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Seney
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Seney
Duchene
Last 5: Seney 1-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Seney
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seney
1
0
Seney
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (288)
53.9% (10,396)
-17.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.9% (1,665)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
49.1% (468)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Seney is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Seney shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Seney
Duchene
Home
38.1% (105)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
35.8% (187)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Seney
Duchene
P1
34.6%
54.5%
P2
37.5%
54.5%
P3
38.5%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seney
34.0%▼
35.5%
36.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Brett Seney |