Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.3% vs McClement 53.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 78.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 57.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 57.1%
Result
Brett Sutter favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Sutter
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sutter
McClement
Last 7: Sutter 2-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
2
Sutter
McClement
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
3
Sutter
McClement
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (69)
55.7% (927)
-3.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
75.0% (12)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
47.0% (321)
-13.7%
On power play, McClement has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Sutter is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Sutter shoots left. McClement is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Sutter
McClement
Home
56.5% (46)
55.9% (571)
Away
40.7% (27)
51.8% (689)
By Period
Sutter
McClement
P1
59.1%
55.8%
P2
42.1%
52.3%
P3
61.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
21.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
54.0%▬
53.7%
50.7%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Brett Sutter |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Brett Sutter |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jay McClement |