Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 52.8%). Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 52.1% vs McClement 52.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 75.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 62.1%
Neutral zone
McClement 54.1%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Sutter
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sutter
McClement
Last 7: Sutter 2-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
2
Sutter
McClement
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
3
Sutter
McClement
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (123)
54.4% (4,305)
+1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
62.5% (104)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
47.2% (1,440)
-17.2%
On power play, McClement has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Sutter is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Sutter shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Sutter
McClement
Home
55.6% (81)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
50.9% (53)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Sutter
McClement
P1
60.9%
53.5%
P2
49.2%
52.0%
P3
51.9%
53.2%
Final 5 min
26.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
54.0%▬
53.7%
53.7%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Brett Sutter |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Brett Sutter |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jay McClement |