Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Boyle 52.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 58.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 85.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 66.6%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Vermette
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Vermette
Boyle
Last 6: Vermette 2-4 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Boyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
3
Vermette
Boyle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
1
Vermette
Boyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (1,246)
54.2% (354)
+2.5%
Power Play
55.9% (261)
76.5% (17)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (276)
48.8% (207)
+6.6%
On power play, Boyle has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Vermette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Vermette shoots left. Boyle is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Vermette
Boyle
Home
56.8% (842)
54.8% (272)
Away
56.0% (941)
51.3% (306)
By Period
Vermette
Boyle
P1
58.0%
54.4%
P2
57.9%
49.7%
P3
53.5%
54.3%
OT
58.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.4%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |