Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 44.8% vs Boyle 51.8% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 55.0%
Defensive zone
Coleman 54.0%
Neutral zone
Coleman 56.7%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Coleman
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coleman
Boyle
Last 5: Coleman 2-3 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
1
Coleman
Boyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Boyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Boyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (196)
51.7% (408)
-7.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.3% (68)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
48.6% (105)
-19.0%
On power play, Boyle has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Coleman is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Coleman shoots left. Boyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Coleman
Boyle
Home
42.6% (108)
54.2% (238)
Away
42.4% (118)
50.7% (343)
By Period
Coleman
Boyle
P1
44.6%
53.9%
P2
42.7%
52.1%
P3
40.3%
50.7%
Final 5 min
39.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |