Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.9%). Boyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.8% vs Tierney 50.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 54.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 81.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 72.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Boyle
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boyle
Tierney
Last 5: Boyle 4-1 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Tierney
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Tierney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Tierney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (157)
52.1% (844)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.0% (142)
50.7% (75)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
32.4% (34)
42.7% (124)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Boyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Boyle shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Boyle
Tierney
Home
56.1% (148)
51.2% (521)
Away
47.0% (185)
50.6% (522)
By Period
Boyle
Tierney
P1
49.5%
49.3%
P2
56.6%
50.4%
P3
47.1%
53.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.1%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2018 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |