Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Tierney 49.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 61.6%
Defensive zone
Boyle 59.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 51.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Boyle
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Boyle
Tierney
Last 8: Boyle 4-4 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
2
Boyle
Tierney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
1
Boyle
Tierney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
1
Boyle
Tierney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
50.4% (454)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
48.3% (58)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
36.8% (19)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Boyle
Tierney
Home
44.2% (199)
53.3% (289)
Away
46.4% (166)
45.5% (242)
By Period
Boyle
Tierney
P1
48.6%
50.9%
P2
40.4%
46.7%
P3
46.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
41.6%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |