Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.7% vs Lazar 48.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 72.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 72.4%
Neutral zone
Boyle 50.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Boyle
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyle
Lazar
Last 5: Boyle 1-4 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Boyle
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
3
Boyle
Lazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (641)
48.8% (242)
+4.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
83.3% (6)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (243)
24.0% (25)
+20.4%
On power play, Lazar has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Boyle is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Boyle shoots left. Lazar is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Boyle
Lazar
Home
51.8% (427)
48.5% (132)
Away
50.0% (478)
46.1% (141)
By Period
Boyle
Lazar
P1
50.7%
47.0%
P2
52.7%
44.0%
P3
49.5%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |