Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Lazar 49.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 58.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 55.8%
Neutral zone
Boyle 56.1%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Boyle
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Boyle
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Boyle
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
51.3% (232)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
37.8% (45)
-2.6%
On power play, Boyle has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Boyle is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Boyle shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Boyle
Lazar
Home
44.2% (199)
43.5% (131)
Away
46.4% (166)
53.7% (147)
By Period
Boyle
Lazar
P1
48.6%
53.8%
P2
40.4%
50.5%
P3
46.4%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |