Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 48.6% vs Backes 44.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 70.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 51.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 59.7%
Result
David Backes favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Boyle
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Boyle
Backes
Last 9: Boyle 2-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
4
Boyle
Backes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Boyle
Backes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (862)
45.3% (819)
+4.4%
Power Play
43.1% (65)
42.1% (190)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (160)
40.5% (111)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Boyle is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Boyle shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Home / Away
Boyle
Backes
Home
48.0% (537)
42.9% (581)
Away
48.9% (564)
46.1% (557)
By Period
Boyle
Backes
P1
46.9%
40.1%
P2
48.8%
47.3%
P3
49.5%
45.1%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
48.5%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | David Backes |