Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.7%). Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Backes 50.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 53.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 71.1%
Neutral zone
Boyle 55.1%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Boyle
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Boyle
Backes
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
6
Boyle
Backes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
2
Boyle
Backes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
4
Boyle
Backes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
51.1% (5,772)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
50.8% (1,082)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
47.4% (930)
-1.2%
On power play, Boyle has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Boyle
Backes
Home
52.2% (3,521)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Boyle
Backes
P1
51.3%
50.1%
P2
51.1%
51.5%
P3
50.4%
50.8%
OT
55.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | David Backes |