Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 31-24 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 61.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 61.3%
Neutral zone
Boyle 62.7%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Boyle
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
31
(55 meetings)
24
31
Boyle
MacKenzie
Last 10: Boyle 2-8 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
8
12
Boyle
MacKenzie
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
6
5
Boyle
MacKenzie
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
10
14
Boyle
MacKenzie
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
54.9% (3,660)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
55.9% (102)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
46.7% (1,158)
-0.5%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
Home / Away
Boyle
MacKenzie
Home
52.2% (3,521)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Boyle
MacKenzie
P1
51.3%
51.9%
P2
51.1%
53.0%
P3
50.4%
54.0%
OT
55.3%
65.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |