Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Larkin 52.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.7%
Defensive zone
Boyle 73.8%
Neutral zone
Boyle 56.7%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Boyle
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
18
(34 meetings)
16
18
Boyle
Larkin
Last 10: Boyle 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
6
4
Boyle
Larkin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Boyle
Larkin
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
9
Boyle
Larkin
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
51.7% (9,019)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
58.5% (2,125)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
50.2% (1,122)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Boyle
Larkin
Home
52.2% (3,521)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Boyle
Larkin
P1
51.3%
52.7%
P2
51.1%
53.1%
P3
50.4%
52.1%
OT
55.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |