Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Larkin 52.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.3%
Defensive zone
Boyle 74.5%
Neutral zone
Boyle 58.0%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Boyle
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Boyle
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Boyle
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Boyle
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
51.8% (903)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.0% (225)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
47.4% (76)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Boyle
Larkin
Home
44.2% (199)
55.6% (662)
Away
46.4% (166)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Boyle
Larkin
P1
48.6%
49.9%
P2
40.4%
52.7%
P3
46.4%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |