Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.8% vs Larkin 46.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 61.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Boyle
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Boyle
Larkin
Last 8: Boyle 3-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
5
Boyle
Larkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (408)
45.5% (391)
+6.2%
Power Play
60.3% (68)
41.4% (29)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (105)
50.0% (12)
-1.4%
On power play, Boyle has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Boyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Boyle shoots left. Larkin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Boyle
Larkin
Home
54.2% (238)
47.0% (181)
Away
50.7% (343)
44.2% (251)
By Period
Boyle
Larkin
P1
53.9%
42.7%
P2
52.1%
52.4%
P3
50.7%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 03:03 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |