Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.4%). Boyle wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.9% vs Larkin 52.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.3%
Defensive zone
Boyle 53.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Boyle
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyle
Larkin
Last 5: Boyle 3-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Boyle
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (312)
51.0% (973)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
59.5% (252)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
49.6% (137)
-2.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Boyle is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Boyle shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Boyle
Larkin
Home
48.5% (194)
54.9% (721)
Away
56.6% (182)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Boyle
Larkin
P1
49.1%
52.4%
P2
55.9%
50.8%
P3
51.7%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |