Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Barbashev 42.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 82.0%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 65.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 78.2%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Boyle
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Boyle
Barbashev
Last 8: Boyle 2-6 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
2
Boyle
Barbashev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
1
Boyle
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
3
Boyle
Barbashev
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
42.0% (1,738)
+9.7%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
46.1% (89)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
36.7% (139)
+9.5%
On even strength, Boyle has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Home / Away
Boyle
Barbashev
Home
52.2% (3,521)
42.4% (932)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
Boyle
Barbashev
P1
51.3%
40.7%
P2
51.1%
42.3%
P3
50.4%
42.3%
OT
55.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |