Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.3%). Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Arnott 50.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 77.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 79.4%
Neutral zone
Boyle 51.9%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Boyle
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Boyle
Arnott
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
6
Boyle
Arnott
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
5
1
Boyle
Arnott
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Boyle
Arnott
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
49.7% (1,444)
+2.0%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
53.8% (182)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
40.0% (15)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Boyle
Arnott
Home
52.2% (3,521)
52.1% (891)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Boyle
Arnott
P1
51.3%
46.1%
P2
51.1%
53.6%
P3
50.4%
50.1%
OT
55.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |