Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.9%). Boyle wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.8% vs Carter 51.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 79.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 71.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Boyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Boyle
Carter
Last 6: Boyle 5-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (408)
53.4% (1,137)
-1.7%
Power Play
60.3% (68)
48.7% (154)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (105)
42.7% (124)
+5.9%
On power play, Boyle has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Boyle is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Boyle shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carter
Home
54.2% (238)
54.8% (753)
Away
50.7% (343)
48.6% (662)
By Period
Boyle
Carter
P1
53.9%
52.8%
P2
52.1%
53.0%
P3
50.7%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |