Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 79.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 57.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 65.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Boyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
16
(36 meetings)
20
16
Boyle
Carter
Last 10: Boyle 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
9
Boyle
Carter
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
10
1
Boyle
Carter
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Boyle
Carter
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
53.3% (8,728)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
57.3% (1,554)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
46.3% (1,087)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carter
Home
52.2% (3,521)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Boyle
Carter
P1
51.3%
53.6%
P2
51.1%
52.8%
P3
50.4%
53.1%
OT
55.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |