Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.9% vs Carter 51.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 51.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Boyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyle
Carter
Last 5: Boyle 3-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Boyle
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (312)
52.2% (552)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
56.4% (94)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
41.0% (100)
+5.7%
On power play, Carter has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Boyle is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Boyle shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carter
Home
48.5% (194)
51.2% (324)
Away
56.6% (182)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Boyle
Carter
P1
49.1%
49.8%
P2
55.9%
52.8%
P3
51.7%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |