Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 27-15 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 69.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 91.0%
Neutral zone
Boyle 78.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Boyle
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
27
(42 meetings)
15
27
Boyle
Pavelski
Last 10: Boyle 5-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
19
Boyle
Pavelski
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
11
3
Boyle
Pavelski
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
5
Boyle
Pavelski
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
53.6% (8,791)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
58.2% (2,122)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
50.9% (1,138)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Boyle
Pavelski
Home
52.2% (3,521)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Boyle
Pavelski
P1
51.3%
53.5%
P2
51.1%
55.2%
P3
50.4%
53.9%
OT
55.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |