Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 65.9%
Defensive zone
Boyle 77.6%
Neutral zone
Boyle 57.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Boyle
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Boyle
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Boyle
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
52.5% (570)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.5% (145)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
44.4% (36)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Boyle is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Boyle shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Boyle
Pavelski
Home
44.2% (199)
55.0% (391)
Away
46.4% (166)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Boyle
Pavelski
P1
48.6%
50.8%
P2
40.4%
55.0%
P3
46.4%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |