Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.7% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 67.7%
Defensive zone
Boyle 90.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 78.9%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Boyle
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Boyle
Pavelski
Last 6: Boyle 1-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Boyle
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Boyle
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (641)
55.0% (785)
-1.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
62.7% (201)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (243)
52.2% (161)
-7.8%
On power play, Pavelski has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Boyle is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Boyle shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Boyle
Pavelski
Home
51.8% (427)
58.1% (580)
Away
50.0% (478)
53.8% (567)
By Period
Boyle
Pavelski
P1
50.7%
53.4%
P2
52.7%
58.6%
P3
49.5%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |