Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 54 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 73-70 in 143 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 74.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Boyle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
73
-
70
(143 meetings)
73
70
Boyle
Tavares
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
14
43
Boyle
Tavares
57 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
42
12
Boyle
Tavares
54 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
17
15
Boyle
Tavares
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
54.0% (16,108)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
56.5% (4,283)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
50.6% (620)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Boyle
Tavares
Home
52.2% (3,521)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Boyle
Tavares
P1
51.3%
55.0%
P2
51.1%
54.1%
P3
50.4%
54.1%
OT
55.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |