Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Tavares 59.8% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.3%
Defensive zone
Boyle 73.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Boyle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyle
Tavares
Last 6: Boyle 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Boyle
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
60.9% (1,043)
-13.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.4% (278)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
47.6% (21)
-12.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Boyle
Tavares
Home
44.2% (199)
63.5% (684)
Away
46.4% (166)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Boyle
Tavares
P1
48.6%
60.3%
P2
40.4%
60.4%
P3
46.4%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |