Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.7% vs Tavares 52.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 88.6%
Neutral zone
Boyle 61.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Boyle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Boyle
Tavares
Last 6: Boyle 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Boyle
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Boyle
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (641)
52.4% (1,121)
+1.0%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
51.3% (304)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (243)
58.8% (17)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boyle is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (570).
Boyle shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Home / Away
Boyle
Tavares
Home
51.8% (427)
56.5% (731)
Away
50.0% (478)
47.8% (711)
By Period
Boyle
Tavares
P1
50.7%
56.1%
P2
52.7%
50.3%
P3
49.5%
50.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |