Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.9% vs Toews 56.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 74.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 84.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 80.8%
19.2%
80.8%
Boyle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Boyle
Toews
Last 8: Boyle 6-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Boyle
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
0
Boyle
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (312)
55.9% (1,014)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
62.8% (301)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
55.9% (179)
-9.2%
On power play, Toews has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Boyle is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Boyle shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Home / Away
Boyle
Toews
Home
48.5% (194)
56.6% (709)
Away
56.6% (182)
58.0% (785)
By Period
Boyle
Toews
P1
49.1%
60.4%
P2
55.9%
57.6%
P3
51.7%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
59.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2020 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |