Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Toews 58.4% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 70.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 78.7%
Neutral zone
Boyle 79.1%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Boyle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Boyle
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Boyle
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Boyle
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
58.0% (901)
-10.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
69.5% (226)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
51.7% (209)
-16.5%
On power play, Toews has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Boyle
Toews
Home
44.2% (199)
59.3% (637)
Away
46.4% (166)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Boyle
Toews
P1
48.6%
61.5%
P2
40.4%
55.2%
P3
46.4%
60.0%
OT
50.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |