Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 43-30 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 84.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Boyle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
30
(73 meetings)
43
30
Boyle
Staal
Last 10: Boyle 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
13
Boyle
Staal
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
18
10
Boyle
Staal
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
16
7
Boyle
Staal
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
55.9% (14,620)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
62.7% (1,745)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
48.0% (2,896)
-1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Boyle
Staal
Home
52.2% (3,521)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Boyle
Staal
P1
51.3%
55.2%
P2
51.1%
55.9%
P3
50.4%
54.9%
OT
55.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |