Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Staal 56.8% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 68.3%
Defensive zone
Boyle 74.8%
Neutral zone
Boyle 75.7%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Boyle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyle
Staal
Last 5: Boyle 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Boyle
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Boyle
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
58.9% (1,041)
-11.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.4% (73)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
49.1% (171)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Boyle
Staal
Home
44.2% (199)
59.0% (578)
Away
46.4% (166)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Boyle
Staal
P1
48.6%
57.1%
P2
40.4%
60.9%
P3
46.4%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
41.6%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |