Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.9% vs Staal 54.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Boyle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boyle
Staal
Last 5: Boyle 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (312)
54.2% (943)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
69.6% (79)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
50.8% (262)
-4.1%
On power play, Staal has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Boyle is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Boyle shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Boyle
Staal
Home
48.5% (194)
55.0% (593)
Away
56.6% (182)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Boyle
Staal
P1
49.1%
54.3%
P2
55.9%
53.5%
P3
51.7%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |