Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Bailey 45.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 60.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 89.1%
Neutral zone
Boyle 80.4%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Boyle
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Boyle
Bailey
Last 10: Boyle 8-2 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
4
7
Boyle
Bailey
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
7
2
Boyle
Bailey
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
5
2
Boyle
Bailey
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
45.8% (1,991)
+5.9%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
48.1% (295)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
39.9% (281)
+6.3%
On power play, Boyle has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Boyle
Bailey
Home
52.2% (3,521)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Boyle
Bailey
P1
51.3%
46.5%
P2
51.1%
44.8%
P3
50.4%
44.4%
OT
55.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 14, 2013 | OT | 02:10 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |