Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 67.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Boyle
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Boyle
Duchene
Last 10: Boyle 8-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
6
3
Boyle
Duchene
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
7
5
Boyle
Duchene
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
6
Boyle
Duchene
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
53.9% (10,396)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
56.9% (1,665)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
49.1% (468)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Boyle
Duchene
Home
52.2% (3,521)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Boyle
Duchene
P1
51.3%
54.5%
P2
51.1%
54.5%
P3
50.4%
53.4%
OT
55.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 17, 2015 | OT | 04:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |