Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Duchene 52.8% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 88.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 84.1%
Neutral zone
Boyle 56.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Boyle
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
46.9% (162)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
73.2% (56)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
100.0% (2)
-64.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +64.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Boyle
Duchene
Home
44.2% (199)
58.4% (125)
Away
46.4% (166)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Boyle
Duchene
P1
48.6%
56.9%
P2
40.4%
52.5%
P3
46.4%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%