Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.8% vs Duchene 61.5% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 80.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 89.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Boyle
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boyle
Duchene
Last 5: Boyle 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (408)
62.2% (802)
-10.5%
Power Play
60.3% (68)
67.3% (153)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (105)
59.4% (143)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Boyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Boyle shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Boyle
Duchene
Home
54.2% (238)
66.5% (555)
Away
50.7% (343)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Boyle
Duchene
P1
53.9%
63.2%
P2
52.1%
59.6%
P3
50.7%
65.0%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |