Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.4% vs Duchene 52.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 76.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Boyle
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boyle
Duchene
Last 5: Boyle 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Boyle
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (667)
52.6% (1,112)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.6% (124)
56.0% (193)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (41)
49.0% (49)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Boyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Boyle shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Boyle
Duchene
Home
52.9% (391)
55.7% (652)
Away
48.3% (441)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Boyle
Duchene
P1
48.9%
51.4%
P2
50.6%
53.9%
P3
51.2%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |